For liability-driven investors, exposure to global bonds offers important benefits: a strong correlation to domestic debt, with greatly reduced volatility. However, these are not the only positives. Today, we’ll look at some other important benefits—such as greatly expanding the investable universe and offering a natural hedge against the tail risk of a domestic credit crisis—and then examine some of the practicalities of introducing global bond allocations within an LDI framework. [Read More...]

No Need to Fear China’s Housing Crackdown
New measures to cool China’s housing market have triggered fresh volatility and stock declines across Asia. But we think the latest government moves won’t derail the long-term drivers of Chinese real estate growth. [Read More...]
Will Two Key Sectors Survive China’s “Long” Landing?
Based on insights from our team’s recent trip to China, we noted that the country is likely headed for a long economic landing. What does that mean for its infrastructure and commodity sectors? [Read More...]
Custom Valuations Index Suggests Precious Metals Will Decline
My team prepares Custom Valuations Index charts to understand how capital is being deployed in the global markets alongside US Dollar and Treasury Yields. The purpose of the Custom Index charts in this article is to provide better insight into and understanding of underlying capital movements in various market conditions. Recently, we discovered the Custom […] The post Custom Valuations Index Suggests Precious Metals Will Decline appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
For Canadian Pension Funds, It’s Time to Go Global
Pension funds in Canada have long relied on a simple fixed-income strategy: buy Canadian. And for a long time, this worked wonders. But times are changing, and our research suggests that swapping a Canada-only approach for a more globalized portfolio will provide better risk-adjusted returns in the future. [Read More...]
Real Asset Strategies: Timing Isn’t Everything, but…
Real assets are coming off of a horrendous year relative to diversified stocks. Meanwhile, inflation is expected to stay low indefinitely. So why in the world should anyone own real assets now? [Read More...]
Lessons Learned in 2014
In 2014, US stocks forged ahead, international developed and emerging-market stocks lagged, bonds did better than expected, and the IRS took a bigger bite. Here are some lessons for US investors to carry forward into 2015. [Read More...]
First Losing Week Of 2021
The bull run that started in December had to take a breather after it extended into 2021 and this week was the week. Six of the seven markets that we track weekly will finish the week down, and the one market that is up may shock you. We’ll start with the three major indexes. The […] The post First Losing Week Of 2021 appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Crude Oil Futures Trade Above $50 for the First Time Since February 2020
Crude oil started the new year off strong last week while breaking back into the $50 range for the first time since February 2020. A lot of bullish fundamental factors are the cause of this rally including: the surprise additional production cuts from Saudi Arabia, the distribution of COVID vaccines, expected additional stimulus from the new party in Washington, and lastly the EIA reported last week the largest inventory draw since August 2020. In the overnight we saw energies retreat lower with US equities but appear to have found support @ 51.50 on the February contract. The long-term trend is still bullish and I think momentum will return to the upside for another spike ahead this week so I’m establishing a long position in agreement with my technical … [Read More...]
Emerging-Market Credit Has Come of Age
While investors have flocked to emerging-market government bonds in recent years, some still perceive emerging-market corporate bonds as an immature asset class. Shamaila Khan, who manages global credit portfolios, questions some assumptions about emerging credit. [Read More...]
Thursday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 1/14
Good morning friends Check out this video: https://videos.danielstrading.com/watch/mopojsQd4jpXweMDvqUywg? President Elect Biden is eying another stimulus package, this time to the tune of 2 trillion dollars (nearly 10% of GDP). Currencies like the Brazilian Real and Mexican Peso are jumping on this news. The next shoe to drop in the US ag story is for the Real get stronger and keep acreage expansion in Brazil to a minimum (without higher prices). Speculators should look at both markets to the buy side. BRAZIL REAL MEXICAN PESO Its not all bullish this AM. Eyes need to be on the Chinese COVID cases continuing to persist. A nationwide lockdown in China would throw this recovery back into the soup. Chinese Yuan remains strong while new cases… [Read More...]
How Much Risk Does Adding Stocks Pose?
Investors have good reasons for their recent net increase in stock fund purchases—and good reasons to remain anxious, in our view. While market volatility has returned to normal, memories of the wild market swings of the past five years loom large. Here’s what we think about the risk of increasing stock exposure now. [Read More...]
Six Easy Pieces: Fundamentals of Asset Allocation Explained
Figuring out the best split for your assets often seems daunting. But it doesn’t have to be. This template can help you get started. [Read More...]
3 Profit Triggers For Cannabis Stocks In 2021
This analysis was originally published on Cannabis Stock Trades on January 7, 2021. 2020 turned out to be an incredible year for cannabis stocks. After falling sharply in 2019, the sector was hit hard again in the spring when COVID-19 ravaged global markets. Cannabis stocks and sentiment hit a multi-year low, and many cannabis investors […] The post 3 Profit Triggers For Cannabis Stocks In 2021 appeared first on INO.com Trader's Blog. [Read More...]
Investing in a Range-Bound Market
What do you do when equity markets are highly volatile within a relatively narrow trading range as a result of low levels of investor confidence? Keep a foot in both the contrarian and momentum camps. [Read More...]
European Equities: In the Market with an Airbag
Confidence returned to European markets in 2013 after several turbulent years. As the continent continues to resolve its problems, we believe that European stocks offer compelling long-term return potential. But since short-term uncertainties remain, investors should consider balancing a strategic position with tactical short-term defense mechanisms. [Read More...]
How to Overcome Analysis Paralysis Within Your Trading Strategy
In the arena of active futures trading, technical analysis is king. It’s certainly a popular and viable trading methodology, but the discipline has one major pitfall: analysis paralysis. In this blog article, we’ll break down this concept and give you a few tips on how to overcome analysis paralysis. What Is Analysis Paralysis? Investopedia defines “analysis paralysis” as a “situation in which an individual or group is unable to move forward with a decision as a result of overanalyzing data.” In simpler terms, it’s what happens when traders fail to act because of overthinking. For active traders, analysis paralysis can undermine any strategy and be a true performance killer. Missing out on good trade setups and letting losing positions run are two products of the indecisiveness … [Read More...]
Is Dollar-Cost Averaging the Cure for Market Jitters?
The US stock market is at record highs, and warnings of a downturn are loud and shrill on every side. Even if you’re convinced you should own more stock, you may find it difficult to buy now. What if you invest your money and the market suddenly drops? [Read More...]
Turner’s Take Podcast | Jan WASDE Implications
Play Turner’s Take Ag Marketing Podcast Episode 262 If you are having trouble listening to the podcast, please click here for Turner’s Take Podcast episodes! New Podcast The January WASDE was bullish across the board for the grain markets. Soybeans, corn and wheat all closed higher. Corn finished the day limit up. In this podcast we take a look at the numbers and what we think it means for old crop and new crop. Below we have our updated supply and demand tables a few trade ideas. Make sure you take a listen to this week’s Turner’s Take Podcast! If you are not a subscriber to Turner’s Take Newsletter then text the message TURNER to number 33-777 to try it out for free! You… [Read More...]
Endowments and Foundations: How Should You Spend a Windfall?
If your endowment or foundation received an unexpected bequest, would you spend more now or would you hold spending steady in order to retain more income and boost your future capacity to spend? [Read More...]
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