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Trillions More

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FEEDPlease note that the video below (either live, or archived, depending on when you read this) is not for political purposes. It is germane to trading as it relates to the rumored $1.9 trillion in money from thin air that the government plans to shower on well-connected corporations, badly-run states, and – – with what’sRead More 0 Comments [Read More...]

The M2 Channel

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FEEDMy fondness for ratio charts is unbounded. Allow me to share three of them with you that I believe illustrate how prone the market is right now to a sell-off. The first is the Dow Jones Composite divided by the M2 money supply. The nature of the current bull market is different than the priorRead More 0 Comments [Read More...]

The return of the Queen

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The Trump impeachment vote was overshadowed by momentous scenes at 0530 this morning in South Jakarta, as Queen Cricket returned to her palace. The unannounced royal trip, lasting two nights, led to frantic searches of the wider realm by her servants. Her feline highness announced her arrival loudly at the front door of the palace in the early hours. In other news, financial markets diverged once again overnight. US equities traced out a modestly positive day with technology outperforming as usual. US yields fell overnight after an excellent bid to cover ratio for the 30-year bond auction overnight. That appeared to assuage inflationista’s after US inflation printed right on expectations at 1.40%. Interestingly, the US dollar rose overnight, perhaps buoyed by bond inflows after a very heavy issuance … [Read More...]

Asian equities mixed today

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Wall street upbeat, but China markets down Asian equity markets are mostly higher across the region after a mostly upbeat session from Wall Street overnight. Slightly lower US yields and expectations of a larger than expected Biden-led stimulus package have boosted sentiment along with impressive China trade data. It is ironic then that the region’s laggard is mainland China where the Shanghai Composite has fallen 0.75%, and the CSI 300 has retreated 1.0%. Especially so after the US Treasury intervened to prevent a US delisting by China tech giants Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu. It would appear that China’s retail investors (who account for most equity market turnover) are increasingly nervous about stretched valuations and are reducing exposure at these levels. The expanded Covid-19 restrictions in … [Read More...]

Locking In Nano Dimension Gains

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FEEDImage via Nano Dimensions, Ltd. Macro Gains For Nano Dimension ; Each trading day, our system selects the ten names it estimates will perform best over the next six months. Often, these include large cap stocks with high share prices, but last month we picked up a couple of small caps, Nano Dimension (NNDM) on DecemberRead More 0 Comments [Read More...]

The dollar’s rise resumes

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Dovish Fed Governors cap dollar’s gains A plethora of Federal Reserve Governors, notably Harker, Brainard and Clarida, along with some successful bond auctions, managed to cap the rise in US yields overnight, with the 10-year now over ten basis points off its recent highs. Harker said that the Fed would basically keep rates lower for longer. Brainard, always an uber-dove, said much the same and added that the Fed could increase bond purchases if necessary. Clarida noted that when the Fed does raise rates, they will only have to raise them slightly to reach a neutral policy stance. He added that the Fed would like to see one year of two per cent inflation before tightening. Despite the dovish chorus emanating from the Fed, the … [Read More...]

Oil and gold head lower

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Profit-taking hits oil prices Oil prices beat a modest retreat overnight with official US Crude Inventory data broadly neutral. Headline crude inventories fell more than expected, but distillate and gasoline inventories rose more than expected. That was enough to spark speculative longs to lock in some profits with Brent crude and WTI’s relative strength indices (RSIs) having been in overbought territory for most of this week. Brent crude eased 1.25% to USD56.00 a barrel, and WTI fell 0.80% to USD52.85 a barrel. Both contracts remain unchanged in Asia. With gas prices still at record highs in Asia, oil is unlikely to retreat far in today’s session. Both RSIs for Brent crude and WTI remain in overbought territory, suggesting that further downward pressure could persist. … [Read More...]

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